Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 14.791060 16.704561 18.786645 21.222814 23.998227 27.065251 30.716384
2025-02-16 11.100425 13.444571 16.190004 19.651568 23.912192 29.000953 35.563742
2025-02-23 8.707091 11.214546 14.348340 18.571635 24.143888 31.284941 41.194964
2025-03-02 7.054899 9.605311 12.986115 17.828273 24.639402 33.958098 47.809865
2025-03-09 5.912556 8.469109 12.046159 17.466010 25.557961 37.329459 56.002527
2025-03-16 5.030175 7.547315 11.248098 17.154646 26.475761 40.836873 65.059630
2025-03-23 4.496734 7.048160 10.979063 17.570825 28.539743 46.400637 78.375477
2025-03-30 3.955148 6.450277 10.461952 17.501178 29.801891 50.886383 90.794430
2025-04-06 3.431806 5.802208 9.764306 17.011330 30.258638 54.071244 101.546424
2025-04-13 3.023996 5.287814 9.211974 16.675827 30.913643 57.690817 113.799682
2025-04-20 2.789846 5.041939 9.087759 17.085765 33.001236 64.313868 133.284340
2025-04-27 2.600744 4.849938 9.030554 17.606319 35.380241 71.908379 156.373900
2025-05-04 2.376707 4.569255 8.782020 17.742068 37.070260 78.541622 179.184154
2025-05-11 2.122028 4.195384 8.302641 17.335441 37.558012 82.728630 197.434954
2025-05-18 1.909165 3.877184 7.891873 17.010819 38.174724 87.335437 217.844250
2025-05-25 1.730623 3.606355 7.542419 16.766213 38.934774 92.432454 240.775865
2025-06-01 1.591088 3.400057 7.302389 16.731795 40.189048 98.977135 269.214900
2025-06-08 1.463688 3.203732 7.057794 16.648393 41.311363 105.421580 299.064532
2025-06-15 1.394805 3.129456 7.077904 17.207830 44.173972 117.003698 346.961892
2025-06-22 1.298351 2.979317 6.901897 17.250171 45.685483 125.237869 386.962819
2025-06-29 1.185052 2.775397 6.571345 16.843649 45.901811 129.872180 416.820129
2025-07-06 1.091067 2.606580 6.304563 16.564137 46.425711 135.516080 451.622809
2025-07-13 1.043743 2.547216 6.303727 17.009149 49.143872 148.394633 515.290303